Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Olimpik Donetsk win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.
