Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.