Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.