Shakhtar
4 - 1
Mariupol

Taison (27' pen., 75'), Sudakov (44'), Patrick (64' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gorbunov (72')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Mariupol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Mariupol
64.59%	20.83%	14.58%

Both teams to score 47.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.54%

47.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.33%

69.67%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.05%

13.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.57%

41.42%

Mariupol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.47%

44.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.44%

80.56%

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 64.59%

Mariupol 14.58%

Draw 20.83%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Mariupol
1-0 @ 12.23% 2-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 6.4% 4-0 @ 3.9% 4-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.59% 5-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.28% 5-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.55% Total : 64.59%	1-1 @ 9.9% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.83%	0-1 @ 5.03% 1-2 @ 4% 0-2 @ 2.03% 1-3 @ 1.08% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.38% Total : 14.58%