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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 1
Jul 24, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Donbass Arena

Shakhtar
2 - 1
Inhulets

Traore (12'), Patrick (34')
Tete (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Stephen (81')
Zaporozhets (40'), Pavlov (66')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Inhulets.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 67.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 12.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawInhulets
67.03%20.25%12.72%
Both teams to score 44.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05%48.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97%71.03%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.32%13.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.11%40.89%
Inhulets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.71%48.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.55%83.45%
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 67.03%
    Inhulets 12.72%
    Draw 20.25%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawInhulets
1-0 @ 13.14%
2-0 @ 13.07%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 8.67%
3-1 @ 6.31%
4-0 @ 4.31%
4-1 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 2.3%
5-0 @ 1.72%
5-1 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 67.03%
1-1 @ 9.57%
0-0 @ 6.61%
2-2 @ 3.46%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 20.25%
0-1 @ 4.81%
1-2 @ 3.48%
0-2 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 12.72%

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