Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Inhulets win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
