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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 26
May 9, 2021 at 3pm UK
Donbass Arena

Shakhtar
1 - 0
Inhulets

Tete (16')
Bolbat (15')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kozak (30'), Bartulovic (54'), Pavlov (83')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Inhulets.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawInhulets
67.31%19.38%13.31%
Both teams to score 49.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.09%43.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.71%66.3%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.92%12.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.39%37.61%
Inhulets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.79%44.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71%80.3%
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 67.3%
    Inhulets 13.31%
    Draw 19.38%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawInhulets
2-0 @ 11.93%
1-0 @ 11.28%
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 8.41%
3-1 @ 6.86%
4-0 @ 4.44%
4-1 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 2.8%
5-0 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 67.3%
1-1 @ 9.21%
0-0 @ 5.34%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 19.38%
0-1 @ 4.36%
1-2 @ 3.76%
0-2 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.08%
1-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 13.31%

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