Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 14.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.01%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.