Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
