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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 at 3pm UK
Volodymyr Boiko Stadium
SD

Mariupol
0 - 5
Shakhtar


Mykytsey (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sikan (18'), Mudryk (20'), Tete (53'), Sudakov (77', 80')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 81.83%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 6.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.37%) and 0-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.68%), while for a Mariupol win it was 1-0 (2%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
MariupolDrawShakhtar Donetsk
6.14%12.03%81.83%
Both teams to score 46.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.29%31.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.76%53.24%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.08%50.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.72%85.28%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.19%5.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.66%22.34%
Score Analysis
    Mariupol 6.14%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 81.83%
    Draw 12.03%
MariupolDrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 2%
2-1 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 6.14%
1-1 @ 5.68%
0-0 @ 2.96%
2-2 @ 2.73%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 12.03%
0-2 @ 11.98%
0-3 @ 11.37%
0-1 @ 8.42%
0-4 @ 8.09%
1-2 @ 8.09%
1-3 @ 7.67%
1-4 @ 5.46%
0-5 @ 4.61%
1-5 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.59%
0-6 @ 2.19%
2-4 @ 1.84%
1-6 @ 1.48%
2-5 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 81.83%

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