SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Veres had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Veres win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Veres | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
26.38% ( 5.73) | 25.02% ( 2.01) | 48.6% ( -7.73) |
| Both teams to score 53.05% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% ( -2.78) | 49.71% ( 2.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.28% ( -2.54) | 71.72% ( 2.54) |
| Veres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.71% ( 3.63) | 33.29% ( -3.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.1% ( 3.81) | 69.9% ( -3.8) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.52% ( -4.02) | 20.48% ( 4.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.05% ( -6.79) | 52.95% ( 6.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Veres | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 1.44) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( 1.1)2-0 @ 4.12% ( 1.11)3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.59)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.51)Other @ 2.41% Total : 26.38% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.97) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.74)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.43)0-2 @ 8.57% ( -1.32)1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.94)0-3 @ 4.53% ( -1.42)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.7)0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.89)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.25)Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.59% |
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