SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dnipro-1 in this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
33.45% ( 0.66) | 25.93% ( 0.03) | 40.62% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.73% ( 0.02) | 50.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.78% ( 0.02) | 72.22% ( -0.02) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% ( 0.43) | 28.53% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.68% ( 0.53) | 64.32% ( -0.54) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% ( -0.35) | 24.44% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.12% ( -0.49) | 58.88% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.45% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.62% |
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