SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Minai had a probability of 24.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Minai win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minai | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
24.24% ( -0.12) | 24.76% ( 0.09) | 50.99% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.8% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% ( -0.46) | 50.38% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.68% ( -0.41) | 72.32% ( 0.41) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.55% ( -0.36) | 35.45% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.78% ( -0.38) | 72.21% ( 0.37) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% ( -0.17) | 19.75% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.21% ( -0.27) | 51.79% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minai | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.77% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.24% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 50.99% |
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