SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
22.88% ( 0.04) | 25.08% ( 0.03) | 52.04% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.12% ( -0.08) | 52.88% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.51% ( -0.07) | 74.49% ( 0.07) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.9% | 38.09% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.14% ( -0) | 74.86% ( 0) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% ( -0.06) | 20.32% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.3% ( -0.1) | 52.69% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.85% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 1.58% Total : 22.88% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 52.03% |
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