Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Rukh Lviv win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.
