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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 24
May 1, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Butovsky Vorskla Stadium
DK

Vorskla
1 - 5
Dynamo Kiev

Kulach (24' pen.)
Sapai (55'), Stepanyuk (62'), Thill (71'), Kravchuk (87')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Buyalskyy (6', 15', 31'), Rodrigues (65'), Sidcley (84')
Kedziora (26')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Dynamo Kiev.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 18.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.

Result
Vorskla PoltavaDrawDynamo Kiev
18.33%22.29%59.38%
Both teams to score 51.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88%47.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65%69.35%
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.47%39.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.78%76.22%
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51%15.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62%44.38%
Score Analysis
    Vorskla Poltava 18.33%
    Dynamo Kiev 59.38%
    Draw 22.28%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawDynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 5.68%
2-1 @ 4.92%
2-0 @ 2.64%
3-1 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.33%
1-1 @ 10.59%
0-0 @ 6.12%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.28%
0-1 @ 11.42%
0-2 @ 10.65%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-3 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 6.14%
0-4 @ 3.09%
1-4 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.85%
2-4 @ 1.33%
0-5 @ 1.15%
1-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.38%

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