Vorskla
1 - 1
Desna

Thill (18')
Yakubu (62'), Sapai (90+1')
Yakubu (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gitchenko (54')
Konoplia (39'), Tamm (68'), Hutsuliak (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Vorskla Poltava	Draw	Desna Chernihiv
33.99%	24.66%	41.35%

Both teams to score 58.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.52%

44.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.15%

66.85%

Vorskla Poltava Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59%

25.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78%

60.23%

Desna Chernihiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.45%

21.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.38%

54.62%

Score Analysis

Vorskla Poltava 33.99%

Desna Chernihiv 41.35%

Draw 24.66%

Vorskla Poltava	Draw	Desna Chernihiv
2-1 @ 7.89% 1-0 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.99%	1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.66%	1-2 @ 8.84% 0-1 @ 8.41% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 4.52% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.55% Total : 41.35%