SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Inhulets |
61.88% ( -0.1) | 21.34% ( 0.09) | 16.78% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.11% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.44% ( -0.39) | 45.56% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.11% ( -0.38) | 67.88% ( 0.38) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.82% ( -0.16) | 14.18% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.13% ( -0.31) | 41.87% ( 0.31) |
| Inhulets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.55% ( -0.23) | 40.45% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.94% ( -0.21) | 77.06% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Inhulets |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.13% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 61.87% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.33% | 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.78% |
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