Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 43.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 27.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Inhulets win it was 1-0 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
