SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
52.69% ( -0) | 24.63% ( 0.03) | 22.67% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.42% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% ( -0.12) | 51.32% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% ( -0.11) | 73.14% ( 0.11) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( -0.05) | 19.44% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.72% ( -0.08) | 51.28% ( 0.08) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.58% ( -0.09) | 37.41% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.8% ( -0.09) | 74.2% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 52.69% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.52% 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 22.67% |
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