SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
29.31% ( 0.01) | 24.88% | 45.81% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.73% | 47.27% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% | 69.5% ( -0) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( 0.01) | 29.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.13% ( 0) | 65.88% ( -0.01) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( -0) | 20.69% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.72% ( -0.01) | 53.29% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.25% Total : 29.31% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.95% 1-4 @ 1.92% 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.69% Total : 45.81% |
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