SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Metal Kharkiv win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
29.37% ( 0.1) | 24.43% ( -0) | 46.2% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.71% ( 0.08) | 45.29% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.37% ( 0.08) | 67.63% ( -0.07) |
| Metal Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( 0.11) | 28.75% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.41% ( 0.14) | 64.59% ( -0.13) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% | 19.71% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.27% ( -0.01) | 51.73% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.37% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 46.2% |
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