Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.