Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.