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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Aug 27, 2020 at 7pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
1 - 1
Cerro

Angel Albin (31')
Rojo (41'), Colombini (44'), (90+2')
Rojo (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tancredi (70' pen.)
Lopez (87')
Brasil (64')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Cerro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawCerro
41.81%26.85%31.34%
Both teams to score 50.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.44%54.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1%75.9%
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24%25.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3%60.69%
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.91%32.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.44%68.56%
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 41.81%
    Cerro 31.34%
    Draw 26.85%
Defensor SportingDrawCerro
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 41.81%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.26%
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 9.39%
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 5.34%
1-3 @ 2.74%
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.34%


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