Defensor
2 - 1
Progreso

Coelho (77'), Lamas (81')
Zeballos (36')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Silva (66')
Gonzalez (64'), Silva (80'), Platero (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	Progreso
33.98%	25.68%	40.34%

Both teams to score 54.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.94%

49.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.87%

71.13%

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39%

27.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.86%

63.14%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.96%

24.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.69%

58.3%

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 33.98%

Progreso 40.34%

Draw 25.67%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 8.54% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.98%	1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 9.46% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 6.74% 1-3 @ 4.12% 0-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.34%