Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.