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Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 19, 2020 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
MW

Cerro
1 - 0
Wanderers

Andres Yepez Guzman (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Montevideo Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
CerroDrawMontevideo Wanderers
30.26%26.24%43.5%
Both teams to score 51.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.46%52.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.8%74.2%
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17%31.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74%68.27%
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01%24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.76%58.25%
Score Analysis
    Cerro 30.26%
    Montevideo Wanderers 43.5%
    Draw 26.23%
CerroDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 7.14%
2-0 @ 5.01%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.91%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.26%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 10.9%
1-2 @ 8.91%
0-2 @ 7.78%
1-3 @ 4.24%
0-3 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 43.5%


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