Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 45.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 26.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.