Progreso
1 - 0
Danubio

Gottesman (19')
Silva (25'), Loffreda (66'), Loffreda (72')
Loffreda (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nequecaur (25'), Prieto (29'), Pineiro (43')
Siles (45+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Danubio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Danubio
34.47%	27.33%	38.19%

Both teams to score 49.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.21%

55.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.08%

76.92%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39%

30.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15%

66.84%

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.67%

28.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.94%

64.05%

Score Analysis

Progreso 34.47%

Danubio 38.19%

Draw 27.32%

Progreso	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.47%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.67% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.32%	0-1 @ 10.93% 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-2 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.08% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.19%