SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Miramar Misiones win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Danubio |
37.82% ( 0) | 28.46% ( -0.01) | 33.72% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 46.29% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.96% ( 0.02) | 60.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.73% ( 0.02) | 80.27% ( -0.02) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( 0.01) | 30.63% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.13% ( 0.02) | 66.87% ( -0.02) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.73% ( 0.01) | 33.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.11% ( 0.01) | 69.89% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.81% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.45% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.72% |
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