SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 36.04%. A win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Miramar Misiones win was 1-0 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Danubio |
35.09% ( 0.26) | 28.87% ( -0.01) | 36.04% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 45.24% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.63% ( 0.04) | 61.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.73% ( 0.03) | 81.27% ( -0.03) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.95% ( 0.2) | 33.05% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.36% ( 0.22) | 69.64% ( -0.22) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% ( -0.14) | 32.42% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.06% ( -0.16) | 68.94% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.09% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.86% | 0-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.03% |
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