Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cerro Largo | Draw | Danubio |
40.48% (![]() | 28.88% (![]() | 30.63% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.38% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.96% (![]() | 62.04% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.23% (![]() | 81.76% (![]() |
Cerro Largo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.95% (![]() | 30.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.82% (![]() | 66.17% (![]() |
Danubio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.44% (![]() | 36.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.65% (![]() | 73.35% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cerro Largo | Draw | Danubio |
1-0 @ 13.2% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.94% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.96% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 1.42% Total : 40.47% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.98% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.02% ( ![]() Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.87% | 0-1 @ 11.05% 1-2 @ 6.69% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 1.88% Total : 30.63% |
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