Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 45.63%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 26.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Danubio | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
45.63% ( -0.92) | 27.98% ( 0.34) | 26.39% ( 0.57) |
Both teams to score 44.56% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.29% ( -0.84) | 60.71% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.22% ( -0.64) | 80.77% ( 0.63) |
Danubio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.38% ( -0.85) | 26.61% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.15% ( -1.13) | 61.84% ( 1.13) |
Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.72% ( 0.03) | 39.27% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.02% ( 0.03) | 75.98% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Danubio | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
1-0 @ 13.83% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.91% Total : 45.62% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.46% Total : 26.39% |
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