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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Jun 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo

Danubio
1 - 1
Maldonado

Fernandez (79')
Silvestre (10'), Peralta (45+1'), Ancheta (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Goicoechea (89' og.)
Gonzalez (24'), Tealde (37'), Nunez (59'), Diana (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Rayo Zuliano
Thursday, May 30 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Maldonado 0-1 Fenix
Sunday, May 26 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 45.63%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 26.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
DanubioDrawDeportivo Maldonado
45.63% (-0.917 -0.92) 27.98% (0.344 0.34) 26.39% (0.568 0.57)
Both teams to score 44.56% (-0.491 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.29% (-0.837 -0.84)60.71% (0.832 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.22% (-0.635 -0.64)80.77% (0.63 0.63)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (-0.84700000000001 -0.85)26.61% (0.841 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15% (-1.131 -1.13)61.84% (1.127 1.13)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.72% (0.028999999999996 0.03)39.27% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02% (0.026 0.03)75.98% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Danubio 45.62%
    Deportivo Maldonado 26.39%
    Draw 27.98%
DanubioDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 13.83% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.16% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 45.62%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 10.45% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 9.77% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 26.39%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Rayo Zuliano
Thursday, May 30 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Danubio
Saturday, May 25 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-1 Racing
Sunday, May 19 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-2 Danubio
Wednesday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cerro 2-0 Danubio
Saturday, May 11 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Ameliano 2-1 Danubio
Wednesday, May 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Maldonado 0-1 Fenix
Sunday, May 26 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 0-2 Nacional
Tuesday, May 21 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Maldonado
Saturday, May 11 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 3-0 Cerro
Sunday, May 5 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 1-1 Maldonado
Saturday, April 27 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 1-2 Miramar Misiones
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division


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