SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Miramar Misiones win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
41.19% ( 0.16) | 26.69% ( -0.03) | 32.13% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.2% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% ( 0.11) | 53.69% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% ( 0.09) | 75.18% ( -0.09) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% ( 0.14) | 25.69% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.4% ( 0.18) | 60.6% ( -0.18) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% ( -0.03) | 31.1% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.58% ( -0.03) | 67.43% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.18% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.13% |
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