Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Druids had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Druids win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberystwyth Town would win this match.