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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Mar 27, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue

Aberystwyth
1 - 1
Pen-y-Bont

Franklin (33')
Williams (49'), Owen (72'), Owen (77'), Roberts (80'), Thorn (82')
Owen (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Davies (59')
Snaith (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawPen-y-Bont
28.66%25.08%46.26%
Both teams to score 54.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.48%48.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.35%70.65%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09%30.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79%67.21%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79%21.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22%53.78%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 28.66%
    Pen-y-Bont 46.26%
    Draw 25.08%
Aberystwyth TownDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 7.62%
2-1 @ 6.98%
2-0 @ 4.47%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 28.66%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-2 @ 7.91%
1-3 @ 4.83%
0-3 @ 4.11%
2-3 @ 2.83%
1-4 @ 1.88%
0-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 46.26%

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