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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Apr 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Park Avenue

Aberystwyth
5 - 1
Druids

Franklin (26'), Jones (35', 82'), Reed (90' pen.), Owen (90+4')
Veale (39'), Bradford (68'), Franklin (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Flint (58')
B (33'), Wise (39')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Druids.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Druids had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Druids win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberystwyth Town would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawDruids
54.63%22.82%22.55%
Both teams to score 56.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.2%43.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.81%66.19%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.06%15.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.79%45.21%
Druids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66%33.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04%69.96%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 54.63%
    Druids 22.55%
    Draw 22.81%
Aberystwyth TownDrawDruids
2-1 @ 9.84%
1-0 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 8.96%
3-1 @ 6.03%
3-0 @ 5.49%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.77%
4-0 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 1.52%
5-1 @ 1.02%
5-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 5.41%
0-0 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 5.89%
0-1 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 22.55%

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