Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Druids had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Druids win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.