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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Apr 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Park Avenue

Aberystwyth
1 - 1
Cardiff MU

Jones (79')
Evans (62'), Veale (77'), Jones (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hulbert (90+3')
Rees (41'), Corsby (90+4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Cardiff MU.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCardiff MU
29.24%24.25%46.5%
Both teams to score 57.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43%44.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06%66.93%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52%28.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.76%64.24%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7%19.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.95%51.05%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 29.24%
    Cardiff MU 46.5%
    Draw 24.25%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 7.13%
1-0 @ 6.9%
2-0 @ 4.34%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-2 @ 2.46%
3-0 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.24%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.34%
0-1 @ 9.04%
0-2 @ 7.44%
1-3 @ 5.12%
0-3 @ 4.08%
2-3 @ 3.22%
1-4 @ 2.11%
0-4 @ 1.68%
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 46.5%

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