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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 1
Apr 9, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Park Avenue
NL

Aberystwyth
1 - 2
Newtown

Williams (40')
Franklin (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ofori (74'), Evans (90+3')
Fletcher (44'), Edwards (45+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Newtown AFC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newtown AFC in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
36.71%24.37%38.92%
Both teams to score 60.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.3%42.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.9%65.1%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93%23.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09%56.92%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06%21.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77%55.23%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 36.71%
    Newtown AFC 38.92%
    Draw 24.37%
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 8.26%
1-0 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 5.45%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 3.06%
3-0 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 36.71%
1-1 @ 11.26%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.54%
0-1 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 4.32%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.94%
1-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 38.92%

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