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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
BT

Caernarfon
1 - 1
Bala Town

Edwards (20')
(7'), Williams (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Venables (45+1' pen.)
Kay (16'), Pryce (79'), Ramsey (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Bala Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
27.73%24.44%47.82%
Both teams to score 56.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.68%46.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.39%68.61%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54%30.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33%66.66%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55%19.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.7%51.29%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 27.73%
    Bala Town 47.82%
    Draw 24.44%
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 7.04%
2-1 @ 6.86%
2-0 @ 4.19%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.66%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.73%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 5.92%
2-2 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 9.7%
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-2 @ 7.94%
1-3 @ 5.15%
0-3 @ 4.33%
2-3 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 2.11%
0-4 @ 1.77%
2-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 47.82%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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