Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.