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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 3
Flint Town

Hughes (12'), Hayes (83')
Edwards (23'), Simpson (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wilde (72', 89'), Harwood (76')
Phillips (24'), Roberts (32'), Jones (33'), Hart (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Flint Town United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawFlint Town United
44.56%23.68%31.76%
Both teams to score 61.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35%40.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.97%63.02%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.46%18.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.22%49.77%
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09%24.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48%59.51%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 44.56%
    Flint Town United 31.76%
    Draw 23.68%
Caernarfon TownDrawFlint Town United
2-1 @ 9.12%
1-0 @ 7.78%
2-0 @ 6.56%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-0 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 44.56%
1-1 @ 10.81%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.61%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-1 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 4.46%
1-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.76%

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