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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 18, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 0
Cardiff MU

Gosset (28'), Hayes (54')
Bailey (23'), Thomas (64'), Cartwright (71'), Hayes (90+2'), Hayes (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Evans (45')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
33.9%25.26%40.83%
Both teams to score 56.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.76%47.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.53%69.47%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22%26.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94%62.06%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01%22.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21%56.79%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 33.9%
    Cardiff MU 40.83%
    Draw 25.26%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.9%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.16%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 9.05%
1-2 @ 8.77%
0-2 @ 6.65%
1-3 @ 4.3%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.83%
1-4 @ 1.58%
0-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.83%

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