Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Caernarfon

Rimmer (6'), (39'), (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Thomas (17')
French (19'), (31'), (32')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Caernarfon Town
51.43%	22.37%	26.2%

Both teams to score 61.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62%

38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.74%

60.26%

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.03%

14.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.6%

43.4%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.76%

27.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.33%

62.66%

Score Analysis

Aberystwyth Town 51.43%

Caernarfon Town 26.2%

Draw 22.37%

Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Caernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.56% 1-0 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 6.05% 3-0 @ 4.66% 3-2 @ 3.94% 4-1 @ 2.88% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.87% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.08% Total : 51.43%	1-1 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 4.08% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.37%	1-2 @ 6.55% 0-1 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 1.5% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.2%