Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flint Town United in this match.
