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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside Stadium

Connah's Quay
1 - 1
Caernarfon

Disney (50')
Curran (32'), Owens (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (28')
Hughes (45+3'), Gosset (71')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 9.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
73.93%16.1%9.97%
Both teams to score 49.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.3%37.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.06%59.94%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.25%8.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.95%30.05%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.05%45.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.32%81.68%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 73.93%
    Caernarfon Town 9.97%
    Draw 16.1%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
2-0 @ 11.93%
1-0 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 9.28%
3-1 @ 7.54%
4-0 @ 5.91%
4-1 @ 4.59%
3-2 @ 2.93%
5-0 @ 2.88%
5-1 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.79%
6-0 @ 1.17%
6-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 73.93%
1-1 @ 7.61%
0-0 @ 4.02%
2-2 @ 3.61%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 16.1%
0-1 @ 3.12%
1-2 @ 2.96%
0-2 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 9.97%

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