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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Oct 3, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
Cyncoed Campus

Cardiff MU
0 - 3
Caernarfon

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradley (34' pen.), Thomas (83'), Jones (88')
(72')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
45.39%26.01%28.61%
Both teams to score 51.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63%52.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95%74.05%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98%23.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17%56.83%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05%32.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47%69.53%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 45.39%
    Caernarfon Town 28.61%
    Draw 26%
Cardiff MUDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 9.08%
2-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-0 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 45.39%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.58%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.42%
1-2 @ 6.87%
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 28.61%


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