Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.