Caernarfon
1 - 2
Connah's Quay

Edwards (55')
Hayes (33'), (86'), (90+8'), (90+8')
Bradley (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wilde (75'), Morris (90+2' pen.)
(76'), (85')
Brass (90+9'), Roberts (90+9')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
28.04%	25.98%	45.98%

Both teams to score 51.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.45%

52.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.79%

74.21%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.52%

33.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.88%

70.12%

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.19%

22.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.47%

56.53%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 28.04%

Connah's Quay Nomads 45.98%

Draw 25.98%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 8.36% 2-1 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.82% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.04%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 11.28% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 8.34% 1-3 @ 4.5% 0-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.98%