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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside Stadium

Connah's Quay
3 - 1
Caernarfon

Farquharson (46', 79'), Wilde (52')
Curran (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jones (19')
Williams (63')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Caernarfon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
50.95%23.97%25.07%
Both teams to score 55.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65%46.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36%68.64%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.78%18.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.76%49.24%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44%32.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.91%69.09%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 50.95%
    Caernarfon Town 25.07%
    Draw 23.97%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 50.95%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 5.93%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.66%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 25.07%


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